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Cohort study, 2026

Which established risk factors genetically cause premenstrual disorder?

Genetic analysis suggests three factors cause premenstrual disorder: earlier age at first period, higher BMI, and smoking. However, when tested in a smaller group, results were not consistent, so more research is needed to be sure.

Moderate study design Genetic data from 72,297 women in large genetic studies and 5,674-5,937 women in LifeGene cohort in Sweden

What they did

Researchers used Mendelian randomization (a genetic method to test if something causes a disease) to analyze 8 known risk factors for premenstrual disorder. They used genetic data from large studies (GWAS) with 72,297 participants for premenstrual disorder, then validated findings in a smaller cohort (LifeGene, 5,674-5,937 women).

What they found

In the larger genetic analysis, smoking (odds ratio 1.25), earlier age at first period (odds ratio 0.94 per year), and higher BMI (odds ratio 1.19 per kg/m²) showed causal association with premenstrual disorder. No causal association was found for anemia, childhood abuse, asthma, diabetes, or endometriosis. When validated in the smaller study, results for BMI and menarche were directionally consistent but not statistically significant, and smoking showed no association.

What it means for you

Genetic evidence suggests smoking, BMI, and early puberty may cause premenstrual disorder, but the validation study did not fully confirm these findings. We need larger, better-powered studies to confirm which factors truly cause the condition.

72,297

Total premenstrual disorder participants in GWAS

1.25

Odds ratio for smoking

1.19

Odds ratio per kg/m² for BMI

About the study

Original title
Mendelian randomization of risk factors for premenstrual disorders
Authors
Yang Y, Tang B, Hysaj E et al.
Journal
Npj mental health research
Year
2026
Study design
Cohort study
Participants
5,674
What was tested
Eight established risk factors tested for causal association with premenstrual disorder
Open access
Yes
Original abstract

The causal role of established risk factors for premenstrual disorders (PMDs) remains unclear. We used Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess causality for eight known-risk factors identified through a literature review. Summary statistics for these risk factors were from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) with sample size ranging from 129,017 to 1.2 million, and for PMDs from a GWAS of 72,297 participants. Findings were validated using one-sample MR in LifeGene cohort (n = 5674-5937). In two-sample MR, genetic liability to smoking initiation (OR = 1.25 (1.10-1.43)), earlier menarche (OR = 0.94 (0.89-0.98) per year), and higher BMI (OR = 1.19 (1.05-1.34) per kg/m 2 ) were associated with PMD risk. No causal association was indicated for anemia, childhood abuse, childhood asthma, diabetes, and endometriosis. In one-sample MR, point estimates for BMI (OR = 1.10 (0.88-1.38) per kg/m²) and earlier menarche (OR = 0.98 (0.83-1.15) per year) were directionally consistent with the two-sample MR findings, but the confidence intervals included null effects. However, a null association was observed for smoking (OR = 0.94 (0.77-1.16)). The two-sample MR supports causal role of earlier menarche, higher BMI, and smoking in risk of PMDs. The lack of replication in one-sample MR highlights the need for triangulating evidence from future well-powered and methodologically comparable studies to strengthen these findings.

Reproduced under CC-BY.

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